Terrorist choice: a stochastic dominance and prospect theory analysis

The paper explores terrorist choice by applying two well-known theoretical frameworks: stochastic dominance and prospect theory (PT). We analyse each pair of attack methods that can be formed from the RAND-MIPT database and the Global Terrorism Database. Instances of stochastic dominance are identified. PT orderings are computed. Attention is accorded to the identification of ‘trigger points’ and the circumstances that may lead to an increased likelihood that a terrorist will select an attack method associated with a higher expected number of fatalities, i.e. a potentially more damaging attack method.     

National security,military spending and the business cycle

This paper develops a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model where national security is an argument in the agent’s utility function and the government chooses optimally the level of military spending to maximize social welfare. National defense depends on military expenditure and on the strategic environment reflecting a potential hostile external threat. We use aggregate data on consumption, investment, and military spending for the US economy to estimate the parameters of the model. Estimation results suggest that consumption and national defense are complements and that military spending variability is mainly explained by external threat shocks although it also depends on the macroeconomic conditions. We compute impulse response functions of the main macroeconomic variables to several shocks: a total factor productivity shock, a defense technology shock, and a strategic environment shock. Surprisingly, we find that the optimal response to an increase in the external threat (a worsening in the strategic environment) will rise output by reducing consumption and increasing investment.     

Attrition through a partially coordinated area defense

An area defense consists of several groups that act independently, i.e., do not communicate with each other. Each group has a fixed number of defenders and a controller that allocates these defenders optimally against the individual attackers comprising an attack. We analyze the effectiveness of this partially coordinated defense against a simultaneous attack of known size in which all attackers are considered to be equally lethal. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

采用弹道修正技术的红外干扰弹性能优化

针对弹道修正弹的高维非线性特性导致的性能优化难题,改变概念设计阶段传统的串行设计方式,提出了一种基于实验设计(Design Of Experiments,DOE)和响应面(Response Surface Methodology,RSM)的智能优化算法,定义基本的弹丸结构模型以及相关的设计参数.在DOE的基础上,将设计...     

Minimizing weighted earliness and tardiness penalties in single‐machine scheduling with idle time permitted

In this paper, a single‐machine scheduling problem with weighted earliness and tardiness penalties is considered. Idle time between two adjacent jobs is permitted and due dates of jobs could be unequal. The dominance rules are utilized to develop a relationship matrix, which allows a branch‐and‐bound algorithm to eliminate a high percentage of infeasible solutions. After combining this matrix with a branching strategy, a procedure to solve the problem is proposed. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 760–780, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10039     

基于移相器控制电压的“动中通”波束形成改进算法

在波束形成技术中,基于同时扰动随机梯度估计算法计算接收功率对移相器控制电压的梯度,研究了同时扰动随机梯度估计算法中扰动量和电压更新方程中步长的取值问题。仿真结果表明,随迭代次数变化的扰动量较固定扰动量能有效地提高算法的收敛性能,在同时扰动随机梯度估计算法中,将步长改为随阵元空间位置变化,能有效地提高电压更新方程的收敛速度。研究了与变扰动量有关的参数取值,指出了参数的选取准则。MATLAB仿真结果验证了所改进算法的正确性和有效性。     

科技与战争视角下的国家认知空间安全战略

在经历了陆权逐鹿、海权争霸、空天对垒以及制网权较量之后,在全球媒体时代,人类战争正在从自然空间、技术空间向认知空间拓展。文章从多学科视角切入,聚焦认知空间的战争与战略问题,剖析了战争制权理论演进背景下,制脑权战争兴起的历史合理性及其攻防对抗律,最后从捍卫国家认知空间安全的高度,对全球媒体时代的国家安全战略提出了对策。     

AGENDA FOR DEFENSE AND PEACE ECONOMICS

This brief introduction celebrates the 20th Anniversary of the Journal, Defence and Peace Economics. Suggesting elements of an agenda for the future of this branch of economics, I raise several topics that are new and that seem to indicate that the field will expand and shift focus substantially in future years.     

态势估计中基于假设检验的统计时间推理方法

在战场态势估计中，常常需要判断事件发生的时间顺序，而对事件发生时间的观测往往含有统计不确定性。这里将假设检验理论引入时间推理，建立了一种判别两个事件发生顺序的新方法，同时研究了在统计不确定性下时间顺序的传递性，从而有效增强了态势估计中对时间关系的描述和推理能力     

Hilbert 空间中半线性随机发展方程的 Mild 解的一个存在性定理

讨论如下的Ｈｉｌｂｅｒｔ空间中半线性随机发展方程的Ｃａｕｃｈｙ问题：ｄｙ（ｔ）＝［Ａｙ（ｔ）＋ｆ（ｔ,ｙ（ｔ））］ｄｔ＋Ｇ（ｔ,ｙ（ｔ））ｄＷ（ｔ）;ｙ（０）＝ｙ０．｛在并不要求系数ｆ、Ｇ满足Ｌｉｐｓｃｈｉｔｚ条件的情况下,对上述Ｃａｕｃｈｙ问题的Ｍｉｌｄ解建立了一个局部存在性定理．